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2012-09-22

Model Predictions

Model Tulsa Shock New York Liberty Spread Result
Elo 38.3% 61.7% -
Bradley-Terry 32.2% 67.8% -
Margin 35.0% 65.0% +3.4 (13.6 off)
Pythagorean 46.8% 53.2% -

Actual: New York Liberty +17 (91-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Tulsa Shock

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Johnson 27 4-8 0-0 3-9 4 1 3 1 1 11 11 -
R. Williams 26 5-14 2-6 2-4 4 4 1 0 0 14 9 -
I. Latta 23 5-8 4-7 2-2 0 6 0 0 3 16 11 -
T. Johnson 21 3-8 0-1 0-0 2 2 3 0 2 6 3 -
A. Holt 20 3-7 1-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 7 1 -
R. Hodges 17 1-9 1-7 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 3 -4 -
C. Paris 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 0 6 -
S. Dorrell 16 1-5 0-1 2-3 2 0 1 0 0 4 2 -
J. Lacy 15 5-11 1-4 0-1 3 1 1 1 1 11 5 -
K. Pedersen 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 0 4 -
C. Black 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 1 0 2 6 -

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Pondexter 35 4-13 0-1 9-10 6 5 1 0 6 17 10 -
P. Pierson 32 7-15 1-3 4-6 8 5 2 2 4 19 17 -
N. Powell 31 2-6 2-4 2-2 3 2 1 1 1 8 8 -
E. Carson 30 6-11 2-3 4-4 8 0 0 1 3 18 13 -
K. Vaughn 25 6-9 0-0 2-2 9 1 1 0 0 14 16 -
L. Mitchell 19 1-3 1-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 3 4 -
K. Braxton 15 2-5 0-0 0-0 4 3 1 0 1 4 6 -
D. Walker 8 1-3 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
A. Montgomery 4 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 4 -

* = starter