Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 87.8% | 12.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 87.7% | 12.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 93.9% | 6.1% | -15.0 | ✓ (8.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 83.2% | 16.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -23 (66-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Peters | 33 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 16 | - |
| M. Moore | 24 | 8-12 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 18 | - |
| E. Thorn | 23 | 6-10 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 6 | - |
| C. Wiggins | 22 | 1-8 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| S. Augustus | 22 | 6-15 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 6 | - |
| L. Whalen | 21 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| J. Adair | 21 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | - |
| M. Wright | 17 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| R. Brunson | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bonner | 35 | 6-18 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 4 | - |
| S. Prahalis | 34 | 6-15 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 5 | - |
| A. Hornbuckle | 30 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | - |
| K. Thomas | 27 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9 | - |
| C. Houston | 25 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | - |
| N. Sanford | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| C. Dupree | 18 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| L. Kizer | 12 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
* = starter