๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2012-09-20

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Dream Chicago Sky Spread Result
Elo 62.2% 37.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 56.3% 43.7% - โœ“
Margin 47.1% 52.9% +0.6 โœ— (9.6 off)
Pythagorean 51.1% 48.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 59.2% 40.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 59.2% 40.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 48.9% 51.1% - โœ—

Actual: Chicago Sky -9 (66-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Harding 36 3-8 0-3 3-3 2 8 0 0 1 9 10 -
Angel McCoughtry 33 8-17 1-3 4-5 4 1 1 0 6 21 4 -
S. Lyttle 32 7-12 0-1 3-3 8 2 3 0 2 17 16 -
A. Herrington 30 6-10 0-0 0-2 3 5 2 0 0 12 12 -
E. de Souza 25 3-8 0-0 0-0 10 2 0 1 1 6 10 -
Tiffany Hayes 16 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 4 0 1 4 3 3 -
A. Henry-Morello 15 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 4 5 -
C. Kraayeveld 10 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 2 0 2 0 3 5 -
K. Swanier 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

Chicago Sky

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Courtney Vandersloot 32 3-10 1-2 3-4 1 6 0 0 3 10 4 -
C. Swords 31 8-12 0-0 0-0 9 0 1 1 1 16 14 -
T. Young 30 3-11 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 3 8 -2 -
S. Cash 29 1-11 1-4 0-0 4 3 1 0 0 3 0 -
S. Murphy 26 4-8 2-3 2-2 5 0 2 1 1 12 11 -
Epiphanny Prince 25 5-13 1-3 3-3 3 4 3 0 2 14 9 -
L. Willingham 11 1-2 1-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 3 5 -
R. Riley 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
T. Penicheiro 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
S. Petrovic 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter