Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Chicago Sky | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Chicago Sky -9 (66-75). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsey Harding * | 35 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry * | 32 | 8-17 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 4 | - |
| Sancho Lyttle * | 31 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Armintie Herrington * | 29 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Erika de Souza * | 24 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 15 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Aneika Morello | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Cathrine Kraayeveld | 10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Ketia Swanier | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Chicago Sky
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtney Vandersloot * | 31 | 3-10 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Carolyn Swords * | 30 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Swin Cash * | 29 | 1-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Tamera Young * | 29 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -2 | - |
| Epiphanny Prince * | 25 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Shay Murphy | 25 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Le'coe Willingham | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Ruth Riley | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Ticha Penicheiro | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Sonja Petrovic | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter