Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.8% | 27.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +16 (92-76). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candice Wiggins * | 29 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Maya Moore * | 25 | 5-14 | 1-8 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Seimone Augustus * | 21 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Rebekkah Brunson * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Taj McWilliams-Franklin * | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Erin Thorn | 28 | 2-9 | 2-9 | 4-4 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Devereaux Peters | 28 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 26 | - |
| Monica Wright | 25 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 9-12 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Jessica Adair | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candace Parker * | 29 | 9-15 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 27 | - |
| Kristi Toliver * | 29 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike * | 28 | 10-13 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 23 | - |
| Alana Beard * | 28 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 8 | - |
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 21 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Jenna O'Hea | 21 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Marissa Coleman | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -4 | - |
| Ebony Hoffman | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nicky Anosike | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| April Sykes | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter