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2012-09-20

Model Predictions

Model New York Liberty Tulsa Shock Spread Result
Elo 44.6% 55.4% -
Bradley-Terry 54.2% 45.8% -
Margin 35.5% 64.5% +3.3 (8.7 off)
Pythagorean 47.2% 52.8% -

Actual: Tulsa Shock +12 (78-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Pondexter 31 6-15 2-6 0-0 4 5 1 0 4 14 5 -
P. Pierson 27 6-14 0-1 2-2 2 1 1 1 3 14 2 -
E. Carson 27 5-13 1-5 0-0 5 2 1 0 3 11 3 -
N. Powell 24 1-2 0-1 2-2 5 0 1 0 2 4 6 -
L. Mitchell 23 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 3 1 0 3 3 3 -
A. Montgomery 22 2-7 1-3 0-0 5 3 1 0 3 5 4 -
K. Braxton 19 7-11 0-0 0-1 5 0 0 2 3 14 7 -
K. Vaughn 14 0-1 0-0 1-2 7 1 0 0 0 1 8 -
D. Walker 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 0 4 -
K. Cain 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Redmon 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Tulsa Shock

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Johnson 32 1-7 0-0 1-4 7 1 0 2 3 3 3 -
A. Holt 27 4-6 2-2 0-0 6 1 1 0 0 10 12 -
T. Johnson 27 10-12 4-5 2-2 3 6 1 0 3 26 21 -
I. Latta 26 5-12 3-7 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 13 4 -
R. Hodges 25 2-9 1-7 1-1 3 1 1 0 1 6 1 -
R. Williams 21 2-6 1-4 2-2 2 2 1 0 4 7 2 -
J. Lacy 14 3-5 3-4 0-0 0 0 4 0 0 9 8 -
C. Paris 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 1 0 2 5 -
K. Pedersen 11 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
S. Dorrell 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter