Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Wings +12 (78-66). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cappie Pondexter * | 31 | 6-15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Essence Carson * | 27 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Nicole Powell * | 24 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Kara Braxton * | 18 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| DeMya Walker * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Plenette Pierson | 27 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 2 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell | 22 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Alex Montgomery | 21 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Kia Vaughn | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - |
| Kelley Cain | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Katelan Redmon | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glory Johnson * | 32 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Temeka Johnson * | 27 | 10-12 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 21 | - |
| Amber Holt * | 26 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Roneeka Hodges * | 24 | 2-9 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Kayla Pedersen * | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Ivory Latta | 25 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Riquna Williams | 20 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Courtney Paris | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Jennifer Lacy | 13 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Scholanda Dorrell | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter