Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces +11 (77-66). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Essence Carson * | 35 | 5-16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Cappie Pondexter * | 35 | 11-22 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 4 | - |
| Nicole Powell * | 35 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Kara Braxton * | 20 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Plenette Pierson * | 18 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| DeMya Walker | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Kia Vaughn | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Alex Montgomery | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Young-Malcolm * | 35 | 1-11 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Becky Hammon * | 33 | 3-9 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Danielle Robinson * | 31 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 19 | - |
| Shameka Christon * | 26 | 5-10 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Jayne Appel Marinelli * | 24 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Jia Perkins | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Danielle Adams | 15 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Shenise Johnson | 13 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Tangela Smith | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter