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2012-09-18

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Mercury Los Angeles Sparks Spread Result
Elo 8.2% 91.8% -
Bradley-Terry 10.7% 89.3% -
Margin 3.4% 96.6% +18.4 (6.6 off)
Pythagorean 11.9% 88.1% -

Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +25 (101-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Mercury

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Hornbuckle 36 4-12 1-4 0-0 4 5 1 0 3 9 4 -
D. Bonner 32 6-15 1-4 10-11 6 6 1 0 4 23 17 -
K. Thomas 29 7-11 0-0 0-1 11 1 0 2 2 14 15 -
B. Butler 26 2-7 2-7 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 6 2 -
C. Houston 26 6-14 2-7 0-0 4 1 1 0 2 14 4 -
N. Sanford 20 1-4 0-0 0-0 8 2 1 0 2 2 7 -
C. Dupree 15 3-4 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 6 0 -
L. Kizer 13 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 2 -2 -
D. Simon 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 -

Los Angeles Sparks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Toliver 33 5-12 3-5 4-4 1 3 1 0 2 17 8 -
C. Parker 32 11-18 2-2 2-6 11 7 1 4 2 26 29 -
D. Milton-Jones 28 5-11 2-3 0-0 3 5 0 2 0 12 11 -
N. Ogwumike 23 5-10 0-0 2-2 6 0 2 0 0 12 10 -
A. Beard 21 9-13 2-3 2-3 1 1 6 0 0 22 17 -
J. O'Hea 20 0-1 0-0 0-0 6 5 0 0 1 0 9 -
E. Hoffman 15 0-2 0-0 2-2 2 3 2 0 1 2 6 -
M. Coleman 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 2 4 -
J. Lavender 10 3-5 0-0 1-1 2 0 0 0 2 7 2 -
A. Sykes 4 0-3 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 -
N. Anosike 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 -

* = starter