Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.8% | 91.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.8% | 85.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.6% | 91.4% | +13.0 | ✓ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.0% | 90.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.0% | 90.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +7 (86-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Douglas * | 36 | 6-14 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Tamika Catchings * | 34 | 8-20 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Briann January * | 26 | 4-8 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Shavonte Zellous * | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Tammy Sutton-Brown * | 11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Erin Phillips | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Erlana Larkins | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Jessica Davenport | 15 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Karima Christmas-Kelly | 13 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jeanette Pohlen-Mavunga | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maya Moore * | 35 | 9-16 | 6-8 | 5-5 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 29 | 24 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 34 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Seimone Augustus * | 24 | 3-11 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Taj McWilliams-Franklin * | 17 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Rebekkah Brunson * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Devereaux Peters | 29 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Candice Wiggins | 22 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Monica Wright | 16 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Jessica Adair | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter