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2012-09-16

Model Predictions

Model New York Liberty Washington Mystics Spread Result
Elo 70.2% 29.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 70.4% 29.6% - โœ“
Margin 56.9% 43.1% -1.5 โœ“ (5.5 off)
Pythagorean 62.2% 37.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 69.5% 30.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 69.4% 30.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 53.7% 46.3% - โœ“

Actual: Washington Mystics -7 (68-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Pondexter 35 9-17 2-4 10-10 11 5 1 0 3 30 27 -
N. Powell 31 8-18 2-7 0-0 9 0 3 0 1 18 11 -
P. Pierson 26 3-10 0-2 0-0 5 4 0 0 1 6 4 -
E. Carson 24 5-13 1-2 4-4 3 0 1 0 3 15 3 -
Leilani Mitchell 22 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 3 -
K. Braxton 21 3-7 0-0 0-0 5 3 1 2 2 6 8 -
Kia Vaughn 19 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
D. Walker 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
A. Montgomery 7 0-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
K. Redmon 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -

Washington Mystics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Robinson 35 5-8 0-0 0-0 10 3 1 2 3 10 15 -
Jasmine Thomas 34 7-11 2-4 0-1 4 1 1 0 3 16 8 -
M. Currie 28 3-11 0-4 6-7 3 2 0 0 2 12 4 -
M. Ajavon 28 3-12 0-4 2-2 4 2 1 0 3 8 0 -
M. Snow 24 1-4 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 1 1 2 4 -
L. Wisdom-Hylton 21 4-5 0-0 3-3 3 1 1 5 2 11 14 -
N. Novosel 15 2-6 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 5 2 -
S. Bobbitt 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 -
I. Castro 5 2-4 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 -

* = starter