Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.0% | 26.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Mystics -7 (68-75). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cappie Pondexter * | 34 | 9-17 | 2-4 | 10-10 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 27 | - |
| Nicole Powell * | 31 | 8-18 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Plenette Pierson * | 26 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Essence Carson * | 23 | 5-13 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 3 | - |
| Kara Braxton * | 21 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell | 21 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Kia Vaughn | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| DeMya Walker | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Alex Montgomery | 6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Katelan Redmon | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashley Robinson * | 34 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas * | 33 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Monique Currie * | 28 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 6-7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Matee Ajavon * | 27 | 3-12 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Michelle Snow * | 24 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Lindsay Wisdom-Hylton | 21 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Natalie Novosel | 15 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Shannon Bobbitt | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Iziane Castro Marques | 4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
* = starter