Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Seattle Storm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Seattle Storm -2 (58-60). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kara Lawson * | 36 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Mistie Bass * | 33 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Tina Charles * | 31 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Kalana Greene * | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Allison Hightower * | 17 | 1-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Renee Montgomery | 26 | 3-14 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Danielle McCray | 15 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Tan White | 12 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Kelsey Griffin | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Smith * | 36 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Tanisha Wright * | 35 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Camille Smith * | 34 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Ann Wauters * | 24 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Svetlana Abrosimova * | 18 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Shekinna Stricklen | 30 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Tina Thompson | 19 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Ewelina Kobryn | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter