๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2012-09-14

Model Predictions

Model Seattle Storm Las Vegas Aces Spread Result
Elo 55.6% 44.4% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 54.3% 45.7% - โœ—
Margin 49.0% 51.0% +0.2 โœ“ (23.8 off)
Pythagorean 54.2% 45.8% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 59.9% 40.1% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 60.0% 40.0% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 49.8% 50.2% - โœ“

Actual: Las Vegas Aces +24 (90-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Seattle Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Svetlana Abrosimova * 30 5-13 1-4 0-1 5 4 1 0 3 11 5 -
Katie Smith * 29 1-8 1-1 2-2 1 4 1 0 0 5 3 -
Ann Wauters * 25 6-9 0-0 0-0 9 4 0 2 1 12 17 -
Camille Smith * 22 3-5 0-0 3-4 3 1 0 1 5 9 4 -
Tanisha Wright * 19 3-7 1-1 0-0 3 4 0 0 6 7 1 -
Shekinna Stricklen 29 4-10 2-4 0-0 2 2 1 2 0 10 7 -
Tina Thompson 15 5-8 1-1 1-1 2 0 2 0 1 12 7 -
Ewelina Kobryn 13 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
Alysha Clark 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 3 0 1 -

Las Vegas Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sophia Young-Malcolm * 31 6-10 0-0 7-9 9 3 3 2 1 19 25 -
Becky Hammon * 31 10-15 5-7 0-0 1 5 4 0 4 25 16 -
Shameka Christon * 29 5-12 3-7 0-0 3 4 0 3 1 13 10 -
Danielle Robinson * 26 4-7 0-0 2-2 0 1 3 0 2 10 5 -
Jayne Appel Marinelli * 17 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 2 6 -
Danielle Adams 22 2-7 0-3 3-4 4 1 1 1 1 7 6 -
Shenise Johnson 19 1-4 1-2 6-6 4 2 2 0 0 9 13 -
Jia Perkins 16 1-6 0-2 1-2 3 2 2 1 0 3 5 -
Ziomara Morrison 2 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Tully Bevilaqua 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter