Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.2% | 24.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.8% | 19.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 75.8% | 24.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.3% | 13.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.3% | 13.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Mystics -8 (74-82). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erika de Souza * | 34 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry * | 33 | 10-18 | 1-4 | 5-7 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 15 | - |
| Sancho Lyttle * | 29 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Lindsey Harding * | 28 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Armintie Herrington * | 27 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Cathrine Kraayeveld | 16 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Ketia Swanier | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Aneika Morello | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monique Currie * | 31 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 7-12 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Ashley Robinson * | 31 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Matee Ajavon * | 30 | 3-13 | 1-5 | 8-8 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas * | 30 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Crystal Langhorne * | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Michelle Snow | 21 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Lindsay Wisdom-Hylton | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Natalie Novosel | 11 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Shannon Bobbitt | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Iziane Castro Marques | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter