Model Predictions
| Model | Tulsa Shock | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 57.5% | 42.5% | -1.7 | ✓ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.6% | 30.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -8 (84-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Tulsa Shock
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Johnson | 32 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 19 | - |
| R. Hodges | 31 | 4-9 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| I. Latta | 25 | 6-14 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 12 | - |
| R. Williams | 23 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 18 | - |
| T. Johnson | 20 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | -4 | - |
| A. Holt | 20 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| K. Pedersen | 18 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| C. Black | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Lacy | 9 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Dorrell | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| C. Paris | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Butler | 38 | 3-9 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| K. Thomas | 33 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 13 | - |
| D. Simon | 28 | 6-14 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 10 | - |
| N. Sanford | 28 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| A. Hornbuckle | 27 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| C. Houston | 27 | 4-12 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
| L. Kizer | 19 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 11 | - |
* = starter