Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Sky | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +9 (86-77). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Chicago Sky
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swin Cash * | 34 | 8-14 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Tamera Young * | 31 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Epiphanny Prince * | 31 | 6-15 | 1-7 | 6-6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 5 | - |
| Courtney Vandersloot * | 31 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Carolyn Swords * | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Shay Murphy | 19 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Ruth Riley | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Le'coe Willingham | 14 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Sonja Petrovic | 6 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candace Parker * | 33 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Kristi Toliver * | 33 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike * | 32 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 10-12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 30 | 28 | - |
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 30 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Alana Beard * | 28 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Jenna O'Hea | 17 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Marissa Coleman | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Ebony Hoffman | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter