Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.5% | 15.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 82.3% | 17.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 85.9% | 14.1% | -9.9 | ✓ (12.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 80.6% | 19.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -22 (78-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lawson | 31 | 9-17 | 6-13 | 6-6 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 30 | 28 | - |
| M. Bass | 29 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 8 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 27 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| D. McCray | 25 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 4 | - |
| A. Hightower | 22 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| T. White | 18 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| K. Griffin | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| K. Greene | 17 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| J. Moore | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bonner | 33 | 7-20 | 1-4 | 9-11 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 16 | - |
| K. Thomas | 31 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| N. Sanford | 29 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 10 | - |
| A. Hornbuckle | 28 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Houston | 26 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 3-6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| B. Butler | 21 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| D. Simon | 17 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| L. Kizer | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
* = starter