Model Predictions
| Model | Seattle Storm | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.8% | 73.2% | +5.5 | ✓ (10.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +16 (77-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Smith * | 27 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -6 | - |
| Tanisha Wright * | 26 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Sue Bird * | 25 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Camille Smith * | 22 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Lauren Jackson * | 21 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Shekinna Stricklen | 26 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Ann Wauters | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Tina Thompson | 13 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Svetlana Abrosimova | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Ewelina Kobryn | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Alysha Clark | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsey Harding * | 33 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Erika de Souza * | 30 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 18 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes * | 27 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Sancho Lyttle * | 27 | 4-15 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Armintie Herrington * | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry | 29 | 8-13 | 2-2 | 5-7 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 20 | - |
| Cathrine Kraayeveld | 12 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Aneika Morello | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Ketia Swanier | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter