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Louisville Cardinals 61
@
Kentucky Wildcats 69
2012-03-31

Model Predictions

Model Louisville Cardinals Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 22.5% 77.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 23.1% 76.9% - ✓
Margin 12.6% 87.4% +10.7 ✓ (2.7 off)
Pythagorean 42.3% 57.7% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 12.6% 87.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 12.5% 87.5% - ✓
Points Off/Def 28.2% 71.8% - ✓

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +8 (69-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Justice 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
G. Dieng * 40 3-10 0-0 1-1 12 2 2 4 3 7 14 -
C. Behanan * 34 4-9 0-2 2-2 9 0 0 0 2 10 8 -
P. Siva * 31 4-11 1-2 2-2 3 3 0 0 3 11 3 -
K. Kuric * 28 3-8 1-2 0-1 5 0 1 0 0 7 5 -
C. Smith * 23 3-11 1-2 1-2 1 1 0 0 1 8 -2 -
R. Smith 26 4-15 0-1 1-2 3 1 2 0 3 9 -3 -
W. Blackshear 14 3-5 1-2 2-3 4 0 0 0 0 9 8 -
J. Swopshire 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Eloy Vargas 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Anthony Davis * 39 7-8 0-0 4-6 14 2 1 5 3 18 29 -
Doron Lamb * 35 4-9 0-2 2-3 1 1 0 0 4 10 -1 -
Terrence Jones * 33 3-8 0-0 0-3 7 0 2 2 0 6 9 -
Marquis Teague * 33 4-8 0-0 0-0 2 5 1 0 2 8 6 -
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist * 23 4-6 0-0 1-4 4 1 0 0 4 9 4 -
Darius Miller 29 4-7 1-4 4-4 3 0 2 0 1 13 10 -
Kyle Wiltjer 8 2-3 1-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 5 4 -

* = starter