Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | Kentucky Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.7% | 79.3% | +7.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 6.0% | 94.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +8 (69-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Justice | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. Dieng * | 40 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 14 | - |
| C. Behanan * | 34 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| P. Siva * | 31 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 3 | - |
| K. Kuric * | 28 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| C. Smith * | 23 | 3-11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -2 | - |
| R. Smith | 26 | 4-15 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | -3 | - |
| W. Blackshear | 14 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| J. Swopshire | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Vargas | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Davis * | 39 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 29 | - |
| D. Lamb * | 35 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | -1 | - |
| T. Jones * | 33 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| M. Teague * | 33 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| M. Kidd-Gilchrist * | 23 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 4 | - |
| D. Miller | 29 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| K. Wiltjer | 8 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
* = starter