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2012-09-09

Model Predictions

Model Washington Mystics Atlanta Dream Spread Result
Elo 6.8% 93.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 12.3% 87.7% - โœ“
Margin 6.7% 93.3% +14.5 โœ“ (10.5 off)
Pythagorean 20.6% 79.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 6.8% 93.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 6.7% 93.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 21.9% 78.1% - โœ“

Actual: Atlanta Dream +25 (93-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Mystics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Langhorne 33 5-9 0-0 2-4 4 1 3 0 3 12 8 -
A. Robinson 30 2-8 0-0 0-2 13 2 2 1 3 4 11 -
N. Quinn 27 4-6 3-4 1-1 1 3 0 0 1 12 9 -
Jasmine Thomas 25 3-11 2-5 2-2 1 3 1 0 2 10 2 -
M. Currie 19 3-8 0-1 4-5 3 0 3 0 4 10 4 -
S. Bobbitt 15 1-4 1-3 1-2 0 2 0 0 1 4 1 -
I. Castro 14 2-6 0-0 1-1 1 1 0 0 1 5 0 -
L. Wisdom-Hylton 13 0-4 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 2 2 1 2 -
M. Ajavon 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -2 -
N. Novosel 10 1-1 1-1 3-4 3 2 0 0 0 6 10 -
M. Snow 5 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Harding 31 7-12 0-1 1-2 3 9 2 0 2 15 15 -
A. Herrington 27 7-8 0-0 1-2 1 2 2 0 1 15 11 -
E. de Souza 24 6-10 0-0 0-0 10 1 1 1 2 12 13 -
S. Lyttle 23 4-7 0-0 0-0 5 3 2 0 1 8 10 -
C. Kraayeveld 22 4-10 3-8 0-0 2 2 0 1 1 11 5 -
Tiffany Hayes 19 3-6 0-0 4-4 2 7 0 0 2 10 11 -
Angel McCoughtry 17 4-10 0-3 0-0 3 2 0 1 2 8 2 -
A. Henry-Morello 16 2-3 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 0 0 6 8 -
K. Swanier 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 4 0 2 2 7 -
L. Koehn 7 2-2 2-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 6 3 -

* = starter