Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.0% | 63.0% | +2.9 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +6 (89-83). Ratings: 2013 season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeWanna Bonner * | 35 | 8-17 | 3-7 | 4-5 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Alexis Hornbuckle * | 32 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Krystal Thomas * | 27 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Nakia Sanford * | 18 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Diana Taurasi * | 14 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Charde Houston | 22 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Briana Butler | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Lynetta Kizer | 17 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Avery Warley-Talbert | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamika Catchings * | 31 | 6-14 | 2-5 | 5-7 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Briann January * | 30 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Katie Douglas * | 30 | 12-18 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 16 | - |
| Shavonte Zellous * | 10 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tammy Sutton-Brown * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Erlana Larkins | 23 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Jeanette Pohlen-Mavunga | 21 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Erin Phillips | 20 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Sasha Goodlett | 8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Karima Christmas-Kelly | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jessica Davenport | 6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
* = starter