Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.9% | 93.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 4.0% | 96.0% | +17.5 | ✗ (26.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 15.8% | 84.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.1% | 96.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.0% | 97.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -9 (82-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeWanna Bonner | 33 | 12-23 | 6-11 | 5-5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 35 | 18 | - |
| A. Hornbuckle | 32 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| K. Thomas | 26 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 16 | - |
| B. Butler | 22 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| N. Sanford | 22 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| A. Warley-Talbert | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Diana Taurasi | 18 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 10 | - |
| C. Houston | 17 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| L. Kizer | 11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Charles | 35 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 7-7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 15 | - |
| K. Lawson | 31 | 2-10 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 29 | 8-13 | 3-6 | 6-7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 16 | - |
| D. McCray | 28 | 4-10 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 6 | - |
| M. Bass | 23 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| A. Hightower | 19 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| K. Griffin | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| K. Greene | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. White | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Moore | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter