Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 85.7% | 14.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 73.9% | 26.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.1% | 14.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.1% | 14.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Mystics -28 (68-96). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristi Toliver * | 27 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 7-8 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Alana Beard * | 25 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Candace Parker * | 24 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 21 | - |
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 20 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike * | 17 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Jenna O'Hea | 24 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Marissa Coleman | 20 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Ebony Hoffman | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Nicky Anosike | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| April Sykes | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasmine Thomas * | 27 | 7-16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Monique Currie * | 26 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Crystal Langhorne * | 24 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Ashley Robinson * | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Noelle Quinn * | 17 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Michelle Snow | 18 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Matee Ajavon | 16 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Lindsay Wisdom-Hylton | 16 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Shannon Bobbitt | 12 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Natalie Novosel | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Iziane Castro Marques | 8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
* = starter