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2012-09-07

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Sky New York Liberty Spread Result
Elo 46.8% 53.2% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 42.4% 57.6% - โœ—
Margin 53.3% 46.7% -0.7 โœ“ (8.3 off)
Pythagorean 56.4% 43.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 65.0% 35.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 65.2% 34.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 51.9% 48.1% - โœ“

Actual: New York Liberty -9 (83-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Sky

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Young 36 8-11 0-0 3-4 5 2 2 0 1 19 16 -
Epiphanny Prince 35 8-18 5-10 9-9 5 4 2 0 1 30 22 -
Courtney Vandersloot 28 6-10 0-1 0-0 2 4 1 0 4 12 5 -
S. Cash 27 3-7 2-3 2-2 7 4 1 1 2 10 14 -
C. Swords 25 3-4 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 0 2 8 7 -
R. Riley 13 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 2 0 2 4 -
S. Petrovic 12 2-4 1-3 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 5 7 -
L. Willingham 11 0-5 0-4 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
S. Murphy 7 1-2 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 4 1 -
Sylvia Fowles 6 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Pondexter 37 7-19 2-7 8-9 3 4 0 0 2 24 10 -
N. Powell 31 3-4 3-4 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 9 11 -
P. Pierson 28 7-13 0-1 1-4 4 2 2 1 4 15 7 -
E. Carson 27 4-11 1-2 3-3 2 0 2 0 1 12 4 -
K. Braxton 25 5-10 0-0 3-6 11 0 0 0 3 13 11 -
Kia Vaughn 18 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 2 1 -
Leilani Mitchell 14 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 3 2 -
A. Montgomery 12 2-5 1-2 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 5 5 -
D. Walker 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
K. Cain 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter