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2012-09-06

Model Predictions

Model Dallas Wings Seattle Storm Spread Result
Elo 19.3% 80.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 30.0% 70.0% - โœ“
Margin 37.0% 63.0% +2.9 โœ“ (24.1 off)
Pythagorean 48.7% 51.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 49.2% 50.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 49.4% 50.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 43.9% 56.1% - โœ“

Actual: Seattle Storm +27 (101-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dallas Wings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ivory Latta * 31 6-12 4-7 2-4 2 3 3 0 2 18 12 -
Roneeka Hodges * 28 3-11 2-7 0-0 7 2 1 0 3 8 4 -
Glory Johnson * 21 6-9 0-0 3-4 4 1 0 0 0 15 11 -
Amber Holt * 18 0-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 -2 -
Chante Black * 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
Riquna Williams 27 5-12 5-10 2-2 4 5 1 1 3 17 13 -
Jennifer Lacy 17 1-8 0-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 2 -5 -
Kayla Pedersen 16 0-3 0-0 3-4 4 0 0 0 1 3 3 -
Scholanda Dorrell 16 2-6 2-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 6 0 -
Courtney Paris 7 1-1 0-0 1-1 3 0 0 2 0 3 7 -

Seattle Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sue Bird * 23 4-7 1-3 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 11 7 -
Camille Smith * 22 1-4 0-0 4-4 3 7 0 1 2 6 11 -
Tanisha Wright * 21 3-4 1-1 2-2 2 8 0 0 1 9 14 -
Katie Smith * 14 2-2 2-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 6 8 -
Lauren Jackson * 14 9-12 2-2 3-4 3 0 0 1 1 23 14 -
Shekinna Stricklen 30 5-7 4-5 1-2 8 2 3 0 1 15 20 -
Svetlana Abrosimova 20 2-6 1-2 0-2 6 4 2 1 3 5 9 -
Ann Wauters 18 2-6 1-2 0-0 4 2 1 0 3 5 3 -
Tina Thompson 15 5-6 0-1 1-2 0 1 0 0 1 11 5 -
Ewelina Kobryn 10 2-5 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 4 2 -
Alysha Clark 10 2-3 2-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 6 6 -

* = starter