Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.5% | 83.5% | +8.9 | ✓ (19.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Liberty +28 (87-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bonner | 35 | 6-19 | 2-8 | 6-6 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 8 | - |
| A. Hornbuckle | 34 | 2-11 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 7 | - |
| B. Butler | 29 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| K. Thomas | 25 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| N. Sanford | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| L. Kizer | 17 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 16 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 5-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| C. Houston | 14 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| S. Prahalis | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| A. Warley-Talbert | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Mitchell | 27 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 21 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 15 | - |
| A. Montgomery | 21 | 5-13 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | - |
| P. Pierson | 18 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 9 | - |
| K. Redmon | 17 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| K. Braxton | 17 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| E. Carson | 17 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| K. Vaughn | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| N. Powell | 16 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| D. Walker | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| K. Cain | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
* = starter