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2012-09-05

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Mercury New York Liberty Spread Result
Elo 22.2% 77.8% -
Bradley-Terry 27.0% 73.0% -
Margin 16.5% 83.5% +8.9 (19.1 off)
Pythagorean 29.5% 70.5% -

Actual: New York Liberty +28 (87-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Mercury

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Bonner 35 6-19 2-8 6-6 5 1 3 0 2 20 8 -
A. Hornbuckle 34 2-11 1-2 5-7 7 5 1 0 5 10 7 -
B. Butler 29 2-10 0-4 2-3 7 1 0 1 2 6 3 -
K. Thomas 25 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 2 2 4 -
N. Sanford 19 1-2 0-0 2-3 1 0 2 0 0 4 5 -
L. Kizer 17 1-9 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 2 -3 -
D. Taurasi 16 2-6 1-5 5-5 2 1 0 0 1 10 6 -
C. Houston 14 2-9 1-3 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 5 -1 -
S. Prahalis 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -
A. Warley-Talbert 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Mitchell 27 2-6 1-4 0-1 3 4 2 0 1 5 7 -
C. Pondexter 21 4-9 2-5 0-0 4 8 1 1 0 10 15 -
A. Montgomery 21 5-13 2-6 0-1 5 0 2 0 2 12 4 -
P. Pierson 18 8-13 0-0 1-2 4 2 0 0 1 17 9 -
K. Redmon 17 1-5 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 0 1 3 2 -
K. Braxton 17 6-10 0-0 0-0 5 4 0 2 1 12 12 -
E. Carson 17 2-6 1-2 2-2 2 2 1 0 2 7 4 -
K. Vaughn 16 1-4 0-0 1-1 3 2 1 1 0 3 6 -
N. Powell 16 4-6 3-5 0-0 3 3 1 0 1 11 11 -
D. Walker 15 1-2 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 1 1 3 3 -
K. Cain 14 2-2 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 3 2 4 9 -

* = starter