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2012-09-02

Model Predictions

Model Connecticut Sun Atlanta Dream Spread Result
Elo 51.8% 48.2% -
Bradley-Terry 54.6% 45.4% -
Margin 37.3% 62.7% +2.8 (4.2 off)
Pythagorean 49.3% 50.7% -

Actual: Atlanta Dream +7 (87-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Charles 38 5-12 0-0 1-2 11 3 1 2 4 11 12 -
K. Lawson 37 6-11 2-4 2-2 2 5 0 0 1 16 11 -
A. Hightower 26 4-11 1-5 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 9 2 -
K. Griffin 23 2-8 0-0 1-1 5 2 0 0 1 5 3 -
R. Montgomery 20 4-9 3-5 2-2 0 3 1 0 3 13 5 -
K. Greene 19 2-5 1-1 2-3 5 3 0 1 0 7 11 -
T. White 14 2-6 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 4 4 -3 -
D. McCray 14 5-6 3-3 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 15 10 -
J. Moore 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. de Souza 37 6-15 0-0 2-2 12 1 4 3 1 14 18 -
S. Lyttle 32 7-12 1-3 0-0 13 4 3 2 4 15 21 -
L. Harding 31 2-7 0-0 5-5 1 4 0 0 3 9 4 -
T. Hayes 30 3-9 1-4 2-4 5 4 1 1 3 9 8 -
C. Kraayeveld 20 3-6 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 7 5 -
A. McCoughtry 19 8-14 2-3 6-6 1 3 2 0 0 24 16 -
A. Herrington 19 3-8 0-0 1-4 5 3 0 0 0 7 7 -
K. Swanier 9 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
A. Henry-Morello 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter