Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Chicago Sky | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.4% | 20.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.8% | 28.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.8% | 28.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Chicago Sky +11 (85-74). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alana Beard * | 35 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike * | 34 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Candace Parker * | 32 | 5-14 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Kristi Toliver * | 32 | 9-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 9 | - |
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 32 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Ebony Hoffman | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Jenna O'Hea | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Marissa Coleman | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| April Sykes | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Chicago Sky
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swin Cash * | 37 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Epiphanny Prince * | 37 | 7-16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Sylvia Fowles * | 34 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Tamera Young * | 24 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Courtney Vandersloot * | 19 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 6-8 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Shay Murphy | 21 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Le'coe Willingham | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Sonja Petrovic | 8 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Carolyn Swords | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter