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2012-09-01

Model Predictions

Model Washington Mystics New York Liberty Spread Result
Elo 17.5% 82.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 19.1% 80.9% - โœ“
Margin 19.0% 81.0% +8.0 โœ“ (2.0 off)
Pythagorean 31.8% 68.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 24.5% 75.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 24.6% 75.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 33.3% 66.7% - โœ“

Actual: New York Liberty +6 (79-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Mystics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Langhorne 36 9-16 0-1 1-1 8 2 2 0 3 19 12 -
N. Quinn 34 2-5 1-2 1-2 4 3 1 0 2 6 7 -
Jasmine Thomas 33 8-12 2-4 0-0 1 3 0 0 6 18 4 -
M. Currie 27 6-11 0-3 8-9 3 4 0 0 1 20 15 -
A. Robinson 22 0-3 0-0 0-2 5 3 1 0 1 0 5 -
L. Wisdom-Hylton 16 2-4 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 1 1 4 6 -
I. Castro 8 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
M. Ajavon 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
S. Bobbitt 7 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -3 -
M. Snow 6 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
N. Novosel 5 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 1 0 2 2 1 -

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Pondexter 37 6-18 1-6 3-3 6 4 2 0 3 16 7 -
E. Carson 31 8-13 2-5 2-2 1 6 0 0 1 20 13 -
P. Pierson 26 3-9 0-0 3-3 3 3 0 1 1 9 6 -
N. Powell 26 3-5 2-3 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 8 9 -
K. Braxton 22 7-10 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 2 2 14 9 -
Leilani Mitchell 19 1-2 1-2 2-2 3 2 0 0 0 5 8 -
Kia Vaughn 18 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 3 4 1 -
D. Walker 14 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 1 2 2 -
A. Montgomery 7 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 1 2 0 0 1 5 -

* = starter