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2012-03-25

Model Predictions

Model Gonzaga Bulldogs Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 17.7% 82.3% -
Bradley-Terry 27.6% 72.4% -
Margin 17.4% 82.6% +8.6 (8.4 off)
Pythagorean 48.3% 51.7% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +17 (79-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Bowen 0 4-11 0-2 3-3 9 0 0 0 1 11 8 -
T. Karr 0 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 4 0 0 1 2 3 -
H. Palmer 0 2-8 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 4 -4 -
K. Redmon 0 5-15 0-0 0-1 7 3 1 0 2 10 4 -
K. Standish 0 11-20 0-0 3-3 2 3 2 0 0 25 12 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Mathies 0 6-10 3-4 0-0 2 7 2 1 1 15 16 -
S. Drake 0 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 2 2 -
D. Milligan 0 3-9 2-3 2-4 3 3 0 0 1 10 6 -
K. Evans 0 1-6 1-4 2-2 10 3 1 0 2 5 11 -
A. Smith 0 1-3 0-0 1-3 2 3 1 0 3 3 3 -
T. Jones * 35 3-7 0-1 6-12 9 6 2 3 2 12 23 -
D. Lamb * 32 3-7 1-3 7-12 1 1 2 0 2 14 9 -
A. Davis * 32 6-9 0-0 6-8 11 1 2 6 0 18 29 -
M. Teague * 30 2-4 1-1 3-4 3 3 1 0 4 8 7 -
M. Kidd-Gilchrist * 27 7-10 1-1 4-4 5 1 0 0 3 19 12 -
D. Miller 35 2-6 0-2 4-4 0 3 2 0 1 8 6 -
K. Wiltjer 7 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
E. Vargas 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter