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2012-03-25

Model Predictions

Model Baylor Bears Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 18.3% 81.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 25.0% 75.0% - โœ“
Margin 13.6% 86.4% +10.2 โœ“ (1.8 off)
Pythagorean 43.0% 57.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 11.9% 88.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 11.8% 88.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 29.2% 70.8% - โœ“

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +12 (82-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pierre Jackson * 38 9-19 1-7 2-2 2 5 2 0 4 21 7 -
Perry Jones * 34 6-14 1-2 4-5 8 2 0 0 4 17 9 -
Quincy Acy * 34 7-11 0-0 8-8 8 1 1 2 3 22 20 -
Brady Heslip * 26 1-2 1-2 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 4 4 -
Quincy Miller * 19 1-6 1-2 0-0 6 1 0 2 1 3 5 -
A.J. Walton 19 0-4 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Deuce Bello 13 1-3 0-0 1-2 1 0 2 0 1 3 2 -
Gary Franklin 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 1 0 0 3 -
Anthony Jones 7 0-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Fred Ellis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Terrence Jones * 35 3-7 0-1 6-12 9 6 2 3 2 12 23 -
Doron Lamb * 32 3-7 1-3 7-12 1 1 2 0 2 14 9 -
Anthony Davis * 32 6-9 0-0 6-8 11 1 2 6 0 18 29 -
Marquis Teague * 30 2-4 1-1 3-4 3 3 1 0 4 8 7 -
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist * 27 7-10 1-1 4-4 5 1 0 0 3 19 12 -
Darius Miller 35 2-6 0-2 4-4 0 3 2 0 1 8 6 -
Kyle Wiltjer 7 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
Eloy Vargas 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter