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2012-03-24

Model Predictions

Model Florida Gators Louisville Cardinals Spread Result
Elo 74.2% 25.8% -
Bradley-Terry 33.5% 66.5% -
Margin 50.0% 50.0% +0.0 (4.0 off)
Pythagorean 47.0% 53.0% -
Efficiency 72.1% 27.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 41.7% 58.3% -
Log Adjusted 41.5% 58.5% -

Actual: Louisville Cardinals +4 (72-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Beal * 36 6-12 2-5 0-0 7 4 1 0 2 14 12 -
E. Murphy * 34 4-5 2-2 4-4 8 0 0 2 4 14 15 -
K. Boynton * 33 4-11 2-7 2-4 2 6 0 0 1 12 8 -
E. Walker * 32 3-10 2-6 4-6 3 7 0 0 2 12 10 -
P. Young * 32 5-7 0-0 1-2 6 0 2 0 2 11 10 -
S. Wilbekin 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
C. Prather 13 0-1 0-0 0-1 4 0 1 1 1 0 4 -
M. Rosario 6 1-1 0-0 1-1 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Dieng * 37 4-11 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 0 8 4 -
K. Kuric * 37 3-9 2-8 0-0 2 1 2 0 0 8 4 -
C. Behanan * 32 7-10 1-1 2-2 7 0 1 2 1 17 16 -
C. Smith * 28 3-4 1-2 1-2 1 0 1 0 0 8 6 -
P. Siva * 26 3-7 1-1 2-2 2 8 1 0 1 9 12 -
R. Smith 22 6-13 1-2 6-7 5 2 1 0 4 19 10 -
J. Swopshire 9 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
K. Ware 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
W. Blackshear 3 0-1 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 1 3 -
E. Justice 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Z. Price 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter