Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Wings | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.5% | 95.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.3% | 92.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.5% | 92.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.5% | 92.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +9 (92-83). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivory Latta * | 36 | 8-14 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Roneeka Hodges * | 30 | 5-15 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Glory Johnson * | 29 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Amber Holt * | 8 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Chante Black * | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Riquna Williams | 32 | 7-13 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Jennifer Lacy | 20 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Courtney Paris | 18 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Scholanda Dorrell | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebekkah Brunson * | 36 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Maya Moore * | 34 | 7-17 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 33 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Seimone Augustus * | 32 | 7-17 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Taj McWilliams-Franklin * | 28 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Candice Wiggins | 18 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Monica Wright | 9 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Amber Harris | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jessica Adair | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter