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2012-03-23

Model Predictions

Model Xavier Musketeers Baylor Bears Spread Result
Elo 25.3% 74.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 24.2% 75.8% - โœ“
Margin 16.2% 83.8% +9.0 โœ“ (4.0 off)
Pythagorean 42.7% 57.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 18.1% 81.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 17.7% 82.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 31.4% 68.6% - โœ“

Actual: Baylor Bears +5 (75-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Xavier Musketeers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mark Lyons * 40 5-15 0-4 6-9 2 2 2 0 3 16 4 -
Tu Holloway * 38 6-13 1-5 9-10 4 3 2 0 2 22 16 -
Kenny Frease * 35 7-10 0-0 4-5 3 1 0 1 3 18 10 -
Dez Wells * 24 1-6 0-2 0-0 5 0 1 1 0 2 3 -
Andre Walker * 17 0-2 0-1 0-0 4 2 1 0 0 0 5 -
Justin Martin 18 2-4 2-3 0-0 5 1 0 1 1 6 8 -
Jeff Robinson 15 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 4 3 -
Dee Davis 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 2 3 -
Travis Taylor 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Brad Redford 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pierre Jackson * 36 5-12 3-7 3-4 2 10 2 0 3 16 15 -
Quincy Acy * 34 8-11 0-0 4-4 15 3 1 1 1 20 28 -
Brady Heslip * 32 3-7 1-3 4-4 2 1 1 0 0 11 8 -
Quincy Miller * 27 3-7 0-2 0-0 3 1 1 1 2 6 3 -
Perry Jones * 26 7-8 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 1 1 14 13 -
A.J. Walton 20 1-4 0-1 0-0 3 5 1 0 4 2 3 -
Deuce Bello 15 0-2 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 1 -1 -
Anthony Jones 9 2-5 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 1 -
Cory Jefferson 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter