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2012-03-23

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Hoosiers Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 28.3% 71.7% -
Bradley-Terry 27.2% 72.8% -
Margin 20.9% 79.1% +7.3 (4.7 off)
Pythagorean 38.8% 61.2% -
Efficiency 7.7% 92.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 7.6% 92.4% -
Log Adjusted 7.3% 92.7% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +12 (102-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Moore 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Watford * 36 9-20 3-9 6-8 5 2 1 2 1 27 16 -
W. Sheehey * 35 5-8 0-1 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 10 6 -
J. Hulls * 33 5-12 2-4 0-0 3 9 1 0 0 12 13 -
C. Zeller * 27 9-14 0-0 2-2 7 2 0 0 3 20 12 -
V. Oladipo * 20 6-8 0-1 3-4 2 3 0 0 1 15 11 -
M. Roth 14 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
R. Abell 14 2-3 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 6 2 -
T. Pritchard 13 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
D. Elston 8 0-0 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Beckham 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Lamb * 38 6-10 1-1 8-8 3 2 1 0 1 21 16 -
M. Teague * 36 4-14 0-2 6-6 3 7 1 0 2 14 9 -
M. Kidd-Gilchrist * 34 7-15 0-1 10-10 10 1 0 0 2 24 18 -
T. Jones * 27 5-9 1-2 1-2 5 0 1 1 1 12 9 -
A. Davis * 25 2-5 0-1 5-6 12 2 0 3 0 9 21 -
D. Miller 32 6-8 2-2 5-5 3 0 0 0 0 19 14 -
K. Wiltjer 6 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
E. Vargas 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter