Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.4% | 88.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +23 (82-59). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Langhorne * | 27 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Monique Currie * | 25 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Matee Ajavon * | 24 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0 | -6 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas * | 22 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Michelle Snow * | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Lindsay Wisdom-Hylton | 24 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Shannon Bobbitt | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Ashley Robinson | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Iziane Castro Marques | 11 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | - |
| Noelle Quinn | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Natalie Novosel | 7 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Armintie Herrington * | 33 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Lindsey Harding * | 33 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 5-8 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes * | 31 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Sancho Lyttle * | 26 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Erika de Souza * | 25 | 9-20 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 10 | - |
| Cathrine Kraayeveld | 25 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Aneika Morello | 14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Ketia Swanier | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Laurie Koehn | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter