Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces -11 (73-84). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Charles * | 35 | 9-17 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Kelsey Griffin * | 33 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Allison Hightower * | 28 | 1-12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Kara Lawson * | 26 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Kalana Greene * | 19 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Renee Montgomery | 16 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 5-7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Tan White | 15 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Danielle McCray | 14 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Jessica Moore | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Young-Malcolm * | 33 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 18 | - |
| Danielle Robinson * | 33 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Becky Hammon * | 33 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Shameka Christon * | 19 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Jayne Appel Marinelli * | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Danielle Adams | 27 | 8-18 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Jia Perkins | 21 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Shenise Johnson | 11 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Tangela Smith | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Ziomara Morrison | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter