Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.5% | 21.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 90.0% | 10.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.6% | 16.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.6% | 16.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.6% | 33.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Wings +14 (99-85). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alana Beard * | 35 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Kristi Toliver * | 32 | 7-11 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike * | 28 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 25 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Candace Parker * | 25 | 5-12 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Marissa Coleman | 12 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Ebony Hoffman | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| April Sykes | 9 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Nicky Anosike | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivory Latta * | 36 | 8-15 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 21 | - |
| Roneeka Hodges * | 31 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Amber Holt * | 29 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 0-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Chante Black * | 28 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Glory Johnson * | 20 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Jennifer Lacy | 25 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Riquna Williams | 17 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Scholanda Dorrell | 5 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Courtney Paris | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter