Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Wings | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.9% | 92.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream -4 (80-84). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glory Johnson * | 33 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Roneeka Hodges * | 31 | 6-10 | 4-8 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Temeka Johnson * | 31 | 6-13 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Chante Black * | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Amber Holt * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Jennifer Lacy | 26 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Ivory Latta | 26 | 5-15 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Riquna Williams | 12 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Scholanda Dorrell | 5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Courtney Paris | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sancho Lyttle * | 33 | 6-20 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 1 | - |
| Armintie Herrington * | 31 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Erika de Souza * | 31 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes * | 30 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 5-6 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Lindsey Harding * | 30 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Cathrine Kraayeveld | 23 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Ketia Swanier | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Aneika Morello | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Laurie Koehn | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter