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2012-08-28

Model Predictions

Model Tulsa Shock Atlanta Dream Spread Result
Elo 23.3% 76.7% -
Bradley-Terry 20.0% 80.0% -
Margin 12.6% 87.4% +10.6 (14.6 off)
Pythagorean 27.7% 72.3% -

Actual: Atlanta Dream -4 (80-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Tulsa Shock

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Johnson 34 3-6 0-0 4-7 8 1 5 3 5 10 16 -
R. Hodges 32 6-10 4-8 4-4 1 2 2 0 2 20 13 -
T. Johnson 31 6-13 2-2 3-4 4 6 2 0 2 17 14 -
J. Lacy 27 2-7 2-5 0-0 4 1 2 0 2 6 4 -
I. Latta 26 5-15 2-6 2-4 4 3 0 0 1 14 5 -
C. Black 14 1-3 0-0 1-2 7 1 1 1 1 3 9 -
A. Holt 13 1-3 0-0 2-2 0 2 0 0 0 4 3 -
R. Williams 13 3-4 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 3 6 2 -
S. Dorrell 6 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
C. Paris 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 -

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Lyttle 33 6-20 2-9 0-0 9 2 0 1 5 14 1 -
E. de Souza 32 7-10 0-0 2-4 9 4 1 1 1 16 20 -
T. Hayes 31 2-8 1-6 5-6 8 2 1 1 4 10 10 -
L. Harding 31 4-11 0-2 2-2 1 7 2 0 1 10 8 -
A. Herrington 31 5-11 0-1 3-3 4 2 3 0 5 13 6 -
C. Kraayeveld 24 4-7 3-6 0-0 2 4 0 0 0 11 10 -
K. Swanier 9 0-1 0-1 2-2 1 2 1 0 2 2 3 -
A. Henry-Morello 8 1-3 0-0 2-2 1 0 1 1 0 4 4 -
L. Koehn 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter