Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Chicago Sky | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.1% | 22.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Chicago Sky -11 (72-83). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Charles * | 35 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 23 | - |
| Kara Lawson * | 32 | 6-9 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Kelsey Griffin * | 32 | 2-12 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Allison Hightower * | 29 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Kalana Greene * | 17 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Renee Montgomery | 22 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 7-7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Tan White | 18 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Jessica Moore | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Mistie Bass | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Chicago Sky
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swin Cash * | 29 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 7-10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Carolyn Swords * | 29 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Epiphanny Prince * | 29 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 5-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Shay Murphy * | 18 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Ticha Penicheiro * | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Courtney Vandersloot | 29 | 8-12 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Sonja Petrovic | 19 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Le'coe Willingham | 14 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ruth Riley | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tamera Young | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter