Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +12 (96-84). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danielle Robinson * | 39 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Becky Hammon * | 38 | 4-16 | 1-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 1 | - |
| Sophia Young-Malcolm * | 37 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Jayne Appel Marinelli * | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Shameka Christon * | 18 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Jia Perkins | 29 | 7-14 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Danielle Adams | 15 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Shenise Johnson | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Ziomara Morrison | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Tangela Smith | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seimone Augustus * | 37 | 8-23 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 8 | - |
| Rebekkah Brunson * | 36 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 32 | - |
| Maya Moore * | 33 | 6-19 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 31 | 6-11 | 3-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Taj McWilliams-Franklin * | 29 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Candice Wiggins | 22 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Amber Harris | 14 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Monica Wright | 10 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Devereaux Peters | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Erin Thorn | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter