Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Sky | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.6% | 83.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -12 (70-82). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Chicago Sky
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Epiphanny Prince * | 32 | 5-14 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Swin Cash * | 26 | 6-16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Carolyn Swords * | 21 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Shay Murphy * | 18 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Ticha Penicheiro * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Courtney Vandersloot | 27 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Sonja Petrovic | 23 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Le'coe Willingham | 22 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Ruth Riley | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kara Lawson * | 33 | 6-15 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Tina Charles * | 32 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Allison Hightower * | 29 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Mistie Bass * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Kalana Greene * | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Renee Montgomery | 25 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 0 | - |
| Kelsey Griffin | 18 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Tan White | 13 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Jessica Moore | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Danielle McCray | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter