Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.5% | 27.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.7% | 21.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.7% | 21.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream -10 (74-84). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maya Moore * | 36 | 5-17 | 2-9 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 35 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Seimone Augustus * | 34 | 9-17 | 0-5 | 5-6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 16 | - |
| Rebekkah Brunson * | 32 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 25 | - |
| Taj McWilliams-Franklin * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Candice Wiggins | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Amber Harris | 11 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Devereaux Peters | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Monica Wright | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Jessica Adair | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsey Harding * | 36 | 3-13 | 0-4 | 1-3 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes * | 33 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Sancho Lyttle * | 33 | 5-14 | 3-10 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Erika de Souza * | 17 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Armintie Herrington * | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Cathrine Kraayeveld | 26 | 4-8 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry | 20 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Aneika Morello | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Ketia Swanier | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Laurie Koehn | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter