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2012-08-25

Model Predictions

Model New York Liberty Los Angeles Sparks Spread Result
Elo 20.0% 80.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 20.6% 79.4% - โœ“
Margin 10.0% 90.0% +12.1 โœ“ (12.9 off)
Pythagorean 30.4% 69.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 13.6% 86.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 13.5% 86.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 25.8% 74.2% - โœ“

Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +25 (87-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Pondexter 35 8-17 1-5 3-6 3 3 0 0 4 20 5 -
P. Pierson 31 6-13 0-1 4-6 10 3 2 0 2 16 16 -
N. Powell 28 1-5 1-5 0-0 8 1 3 0 3 3 7 -
Leilani Mitchell 25 1-5 1-4 0-0 3 6 0 0 2 3 5 -
Kia Vaughn 24 2-8 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 4 -1 -
E. Carson 23 2-7 0-1 1-1 2 1 0 0 3 5 -2 -
K. Braxton 11 2-6 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 2 4 1 -
D. Walker 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
A. Montgomery 9 2-4 1-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 5 5 -
K. Cain 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Los Angeles Sparks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Milton-Jones 31 4-11 2-7 2-2 4 3 2 0 1 12 9 -
A. Beard 30 4-9 1-2 0-0 3 4 2 0 1 9 8 -
Kristi Toliver 30 8-13 5-8 5-6 1 4 2 0 2 26 18 -
Nneka Ogwumike 25 4-8 0-0 2-8 7 5 1 0 0 10 15 -
Candace Parker 24 4-13 0-1 4-4 5 1 2 4 0 12 11 -
M. Coleman 20 2-5 0-1 0-0 5 1 1 0 0 4 6 -
Jantel Lavender 17 2-3 0-0 2-2 5 0 2 0 0 6 10 -
E. Hoffman 10 1-2 1-2 2-2 5 0 0 0 0 5 8 -
A. Sykes 8 1-5 1-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 3 -2 -
N. Anosike 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter