Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +25 (87-62). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cappie Pondexter * | 34 | 8-17 | 1-5 | 3-6 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 7 | - |
| Plenette Pierson * | 31 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Nicole Powell * | 28 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell * | 25 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Kia Vaughn * | 23 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Essence Carson | 23 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Kara Braxton | 11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| DeMya Walker | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Alex Montgomery | 8 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Kelley Cain | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 31 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Kristi Toliver * | 30 | 8-13 | 5-8 | 5-6 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 18 | - |
| Alana Beard * | 29 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike * | 24 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-8 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Candace Parker * | 24 | 4-13 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Marissa Coleman | 19 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Ebony Hoffman | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| April Sykes | 8 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Nicky Anosike | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter