Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.0% | 31.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.1% | 23.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 69.3% | 30.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.2% | 21.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.3% | 21.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Mystics -12 (69-81). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Armintie Herrington * | 33 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Sancho Lyttle * | 32 | 5-14 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Lindsey Harding * | 31 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes * | 30 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Erika de Souza * | 30 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Cathrine Kraayeveld | 22 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Aneika Morello | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Ketia Swanier | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Langhorne * | 31 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas * | 21 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Monique Currie * | 19 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 6-8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Noelle Quinn * | 18 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Michelle Snow * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Matee Ajavon | 29 | 7-14 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Lindsay Wisdom-Hylton | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Shannon Bobbitt | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Ashley Robinson | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Natalie Novosel | 12 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter