Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Sky | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.9% | 26.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.0% | 29.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.0% | 29.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Wings +3 (81-78). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Chicago Sky
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swin Cash * | 39 | 5-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Shay Murphy * | 34 | 7-14 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Sylvia Fowles * | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Tamera Young * | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Ticha Penicheiro * | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Courtney Vandersloot | 32 | 8-12 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Le'coe Willingham | 29 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Epiphanny Prince | 28 | 3-12 | 1-7 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Sonja Petrovic | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Carolyn Swords | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ruth Riley | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roneeka Hodges * | 38 | 8-12 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 17 | - |
| Glory Johnson * | 36 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 20 | - |
| Temeka Johnson * | 28 | 1-10 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -5 | - |
| Amber Holt * | 15 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Chante Black * | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Jennifer Lacy | 30 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 4 | - |
| Riquna Williams | 26 | 7-14 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 12 | - |
| Ivory Latta | 23 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Scholanda Dorrell | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Courtney Paris | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter