Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.0% | 40.0% | -2.2 | ✓ (9.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -12 (77-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Pondexter | 33 | 9-15 | 5-9 | 8-8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 21 | - |
| L. Mitchell | 33 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| P. Pierson | 31 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| E. Carson | 29 | 2-11 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| N. Powell | 28 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| K. Vaughn | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| K. Braxton | 17 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 12 | - |
| D. Walker | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Montgomery | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Prahalis | 38 | 4-14 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 5 | - |
| D. Bonner | 35 | 11-26 | 1-6 | 11-12 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 34 | 19 | - |
| K. Thomas | 32 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 15 | - |
| A. Hornbuckle | 31 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| N. Sanford | 30 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| B. Butler | 18 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| A. Warley-Talbert | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Simon | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter