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2012-08-23

Model Predictions

Model San Antonio Silver Stars Los Angeles Sparks Spread Result
Elo 32.8% 67.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 33.4% 66.6% - โœ“
Margin 33.3% 66.7% +3.8 โœ“ (20.2 off)
Pythagorean 46.4% 53.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 44.9% 55.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 45.1% 54.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 41.9% 58.1% - โœ“

Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +24 (101-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Antonio Silver Stars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Danielle Robinson 25 10-14 0-1 2-2 5 4 2 1 2 22 18 -
J. Perkins 23 3-11 0-2 1-1 4 2 2 0 0 7 4 -
S. Young-Malcolm 23 3-9 0-0 3-3 3 2 0 0 1 9 4 -
S. Johnson 22 6-12 1-2 2-3 5 1 1 0 1 15 9 -
B. Hammon 20 2-10 1-4 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 5 -2 -
S. Christon 19 1-4 0-2 1-2 0 0 1 0 2 3 -2 -
T. Smith 19 1-5 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 -2 -
D. Adams 17 4-5 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 2 10 5 -
J. Appel-Marinelli 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 2 2 5 -
Z. Morrison 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 2 2 -
T. Bevilaqua 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 0 2 -

Los Angeles Sparks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kristi Toliver 27 10-14 6-7 3-3 2 6 1 0 3 29 21 -
D. Milton-Jones 24 5-8 1-2 3-3 5 1 0 0 0 14 12 -
A. Beard 24 8-12 2-3 3-4 2 1 3 0 2 21 13 -
Nneka Ogwumike 21 3-5 0-0 0-0 5 1 2 0 2 6 7 -
M. Coleman 19 1-4 0-1 2-2 3 1 0 0 0 4 4 -
Candace Parker 18 3-7 0-0 0-0 10 6 2 1 0 6 18 -
A. Sykes 16 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Jantel Lavender 16 4-6 0-0 0-1 4 2 0 0 2 8 6 -
E. Hoffman 15 4-6 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 9 4 -
N. Anosike 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 2 -
D. Evans 10 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 3 1 0 2 2 1 -

* = starter